Celeste Headlee: So, the Cash for Clunkers program has
been a runaway success, and one of the best sellers among people who are
taking advantage of the program, is the Ford Focus. Also up there is the
Ford Escape, so Ford announced yesterday that it's going to boost
production of those two models. Shares of Ford closed Thursday with a
2.6% rise, supposedly on that news. It all sounds very promising, and to
let us know how promising it is, is George Pipas, he's Ford Motor
Company's top U.S. sales analyst. So George, August is always a very good
month -- usually the best month of the year for auto sales anyway, plus
we have this Cash for Clunkers deal going on... is it too soon to boost
production of these models? Are sales going to drop off when all this
goes away?
George Pipas: Well, two very good questions, Celeste,
thanks for having me on. We need to boost production in order to
replenish the inventories that have been drawn down to historic low
levels in July and August. So this is partly about trying to boost the
supply of fuel efficient vehicles in the near term, so that we can
satisfy demand while the Clunkers program is still on... but it's also to
replenish supplies of these fuel efficient vehicles going forward as we
head into 2010.
CH: So is this a temporary boost in production, until
you find out what the real demand is?
Pipas: Well, we take it a step at a time, for sure.
We've increased production every quarter this year; in the first quarter
we produced 349,000 vehicles in North America, the fourth quarter level
included in this announcement takes us to 570,000 vehicles. Some of that
boost in production is because of consumer response to the new fuel
efficient products we've brought to the market. Probably the most recent
is the 2010 Fusion and Fusion Hybrid, which have been great sellers ever
since they were introduced in March, so it's a little bit of our own
success at gaining market share in a tough, tough market, but the icing
on the cake has been this Cash for Clunkers program which has really
taken show room traffic to levels we haven't seen in many, many months.
CH: So lets put some perspective on this success -- are
we actually talking about a *profitable* month for Ford?
Pipas: [laughter] Well, when we announce third quarter
results in October, we'll certainly be able to provide an indication for
how this level of production in the third and fourth quarter translates
to profit and cash flow.
Katherine Lanpher: What does that mean?
CH: Yeah, what does that mean?
KL: I have to tell you that I heard more in your laugh
than I did in what you just said, so if can help me understand that.
Pipas: We certainly have made progress. Our second
quarter results were just anonunced in late July, so it'll be another
quarter before we have another announcement about profitability and cash,
but we certainly are seeing our cash outburn decline...
CH: The "cash outburn decline"... that means your
numbers that are in the red, right?
Pipas: That's right. We are still in the red in the
second quarter, making great progress from where we were about 3 quarters
ago, but ... we're on the road to profitability, for sure.
CH: That kinda means you can see black from here, right?
Pipas: We certainly hope so, that that comes soon.
KL: "Cash outburn," that's certainly my Takeaway phrase
for the day, but we actually have a Takeaway question for you, which is:
we're asking listeners what it would take to get them behind the wheel of
the Chevy Volt... so tell us, what would it take to get you there?
$40,000?
CH: Wait, let's not get him in trouble, here, maybe not
the Chevy Volt...
KL: Oh, but I wanted to get him in trouble.
CH: What would it take to get you behind a car that got
230 miles to the gallon?
KL: (and is called Volt)
Pipas: Well, what I would do is, I'd buy a Ford Fusion
Hybrid which costs a quite a bit less than that, provides more range, and
at a substantially less price.
CH: that's George Pipas trying not to become one of the
unemployed in Michigan.
KL: No, you know what that is? That's public relations
outburn.
CH: George Pipas does Ford Motor Company's sales
analysis. Thanks so much.
Pipas: You're welcome.